It's a dead heat between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the latest major Sienna/New York Times poll on Friday. The national poll shows that each has 48% support.
However, Harris' support has declined since the last similar poll was conducted in early October.
In the Democratic Party, tensions are rising.
Additionally, early voting numbers in several crucial swing states show that GOP-registered voters are eagerly heading to the polls. according to CNN He has 18 million who have already voted.
There is also a large majority of white voters who vote early.
In previous elections, Democrats pre-voted in much larger numbers than Republicans. This time it may appear that older voters are voting in advance in much larger numbers than usual.
Here are five danger signs for Kamala Harris:
Harris is not distancing himself from Biden
Voters in the United States say they want change. Kamala Harris says she's the candidate for change, but voters don't seem to believe it.
In interview after interview, Harris fails to answer what she would do differently from Biden if she became president.
Its president has historically been unpopular with the people. However, several times in recent weeks, Harris has not wanted to answer how her policies differ from Biden's. Instead, she shifted her answers to talking about Donald Trump being dangerous or that she wanted to help families with children who were struggling financially.
Focuses on Republicans
In recent weeks, Kamala Harris has focused a lot on Republican politicians who offer their support to her.
I've had campaign meetings with Liz Cheney. She took the lead in the investigation after the storming of Congress in 2021, but she is actually an ultra-conservative Republican and the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, who is linked to the Iraq War and the Guanatamo prison in Cuba.
Harris appealed to the Republican Party's more moderate voters, saying they were welcome to Democrats and boasting that hundreds of Republican politicians support her.
But in 2016, Hillary Clinton may have lost the election by courting voters on the right too much. Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer is said to have advised her at the time that she did not need working-class votes in Pennsylvania if she could convince wealthy Republicans in the same state to vote Democratic. Many left-wing commentators believe Kamala Harris is about to make the same mistake.
It does not focus on the left side
Harris will not tell Democrats on the left what she will do concretely to save civilian lives in Gaza. She gave another, and not so specific, answer when asked about it at CNN's live town hall this week. The question is whether it will withdraw US weapons supplies if Israel continues to use them to kill civilians.
She refused to respond directly to this, saying only that many civilian lives are being lost and that the ceasefire and the release of hostages are among her priorities, as is the case for President Biden.
Advance voting numbers so far show weak support from young voters. Harris is not a left-wing Democrat, even though Trump calls her a Marxist and socialist.
In addition, many young voters I talk to say that the climate issue is really important to them. But this issue receives little attention in Harris' campaign speeches.
Women against men
Women say they will support Harris by 16 percentage points, while men say to a greater extent than they did in 2016 and 2020 that they will vote for Trump.
And at least among young people, young people are leaning to the right, as a new poll conducted by Ipsos in Norway among voters in the 18-29 age group shows that Norwegian youth are leaning to the right.
If Harris also bleeds young black male and Hispanic voters, she could be in serious trouble.
Meanwhile, women of all age groups are flocking to her election rallies. The abortion issue is important to many of them, and has mobilized Democrats in referendums and midterm elections since 2022. On Friday, Harris will hold a campaign rally on abortion in Texas where Beyoncé is scheduled to appear on stage.
But will women's mobilization be large enough to offset Harris' loss of support among men?
“Outlaw” Trump vs. “Flawless” Harris.
Donald Trump should be “lawless” while Kamala Harris should be “flawless,” CNN commentator Van Jones said after the TV company's general meeting this week. He believes Trump gets away with extreme descriptions of Harris and statements about many other things, while Harris is not allowed to make a single mistake in the eyes of the media and American voters.
There is a significant difference in background, rhetoric, and style between the presidential candidates.
Kamala Harris may become the first president of the United States with a skin color other than white. Whether it is too much for American voters in the middle is one of the big questions now in the run-up to the election campaign.
But ultimately, many analysts believe what is most important to voters is that Harris can convince them that she actually plans to bring about change. It will not just continue Biden's policy.
It must be more than one symbol
The numbers' clear rhetoric shows that Kamala Harris has backed down after being welcomed with open arms as a savior when she launched her candidacy last July 21.
She is a symbol of change for many minority Americans, just as Barack Obama was, which is why she quickly gained so much support.
It has also raised record amounts in the past three months.
But voters must also believe in what she says, that she will actually create a new future in America.
Published
10/26/2024, on 23.37