Comment Expresses the writer's opinions.
The Vice President seems to be stuck in a vicious cycle that no matter what she does, she will never break free completely.
If you avoid the press and stick to a tight schedule consisting mainly of speeches and visits to various parts of the world, the measurements will remain static and you will be criticized for not giving 100 percent of your potential.
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Grab your running shoes
So last week she put on her running shoes and took her final step toward Election Day on November 5.
But that doesn't seem to be paying off either.
On the contrary, there are signs indicating the opposite.
Focus after the “60 Minutes” interview that Donald Trump By the way cowardly who, he was Hit non-response About cooperation with Netanyahu.
He didn't want that on lighter TV surfaces either.
on “The view» She couldn't think of anything she would have done differently Joe BidenAnd on “The Late Show” with Stephen Colbert She was asked a similar question and replied that the difference was that it was not Joe Biden.
So the open question is whether this gets voters' attention, or is it just something the media cares about.
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More important than small TV moments
It should be noted that Harris has finally started visiting the podcast, with Trump having preceded her by a large margin. She's been to two so far, and delivered the goods much better than they did on TV.
More important than the small TV moments, Harris is also showing signs of weakness in the Midwest.
There are seven swing states that constitute the battleground in this election campaign.
It was always going to be Harris's shortest, most logical path to victory The trio of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin In the Midwest. This is enough for her to win the elections.
Henrik Heldahl
Henrik Hildahl is a trained political scientist and political journalist at Nettavisen. Hildahl regularly comments on US politics in Norwegian media and writes and contributes to the website AmerikanskPolitikk.no and the podcast Amerikansk Politikk.
She lost – but she got it back
They have all voted for Democrats since 1992, but Trump won them in 2016, and Biden won them back the last time.
For some time, Harris has been leading on average measures by about one percentage point in Pennsylvania, and two to three percentage points in both Michigan and Wisconsin.
Now the difference in the latter two has dropped to just one percentage point.
In October polls, Trump is ahead of Harris in both states.
Meanwhile, Trump has a narrow lead in three of the other four swing states (including Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina), while Harris leads in Nevada.
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Pointing in the wrong direction for Harris
Measurements can be wrong and have a margin of error even when they are not errored, so it is not easy to know the true result. But individual news points in the wrong direction for Harris.
The Washington Post He writes that Harris is struggling to recruit black men in Wisconsin, a Trump campaign constituency He was open about Which they hunt and think they can get support from
The Wall Street Journal reported That's an internal poll from the Democratic Senator's campaign Tammy Baldwin Trump shows +3 in Wisconsin.
It's only one poll, and it was probably leaked to get more money and more Harris visits to the state, but it's also a bad sign.
Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan He said recently Their measurements in Michigan show the same thing, and she's very concerned.
Again, she has something to gain from this, but that's still not a good sign.
Warns of trouble
Many experts with large source networks also warn of problems.
Experienced journalist Mark Halperin Reports Internal metrics for both campaigns show Harris struggling in Pennsylvania and other swing states.
He's not the only one reporting Harris' weakness in the Midwest.
journalist Chris Cillizza And veterans in the election campaign Mike Murphy and David Axelrod On the “Hacks on Tap” podcast he does the same thing this week.
For Democrats, it sends shivers down their spine, remembering 2016.
But there is one thing that differs from 2016: a Trump victory will not be a surprise. The Harris campaign, for example, will not ignore Wisconsin, as Clinton did.
Here you can read more by Henrik Heldahl
Then you must have ice in your stomach. This could go either way.
Internal polls are inconclusive, even if they are often strong, partly because campaigns spend a lot of money ensuring they maintain high quality, which not all public polls do.
in Nate Silvers I confess Climate prediction Harris' chances of winning have fallen from a peak of 58 percent on September 27 to 53 percent.
In other words, it's a flip of a coin.
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