Putin's military capacity is weakening – he requests 180 thousand new soldiers – NRK Urix – Foreign news and documentaries

Today, Putin has ordered the armed forces to increase to 2.38 million personnel, including 1.5 million active soldiers.

This is the third time Putin has ordered an expansion of Russia’s military forces since the invasion of Ukraine two and a half years ago. Military strategy professor Tormod Heyer believes the orders are a bad sign for the Russians:

– He adds that the Russian strategy is to send personnel forward, not combat vehicles, because they no longer have any more.

British Intelligence It claimed that about 1,000 Russian soldiers are killed or wounded on the battlefield every day on average. Ukrainian intelligence believes the number is higher.

– Where will Putin get these people?

– Heyer says it has begun to thin the ranks of soldiers in and out of prisons in areas where Putin has brought in many soldiers so far.

Russia has begun focusing its recruitment campaign more and more on the more densely populated urban areas of St. Petersburg and Moscow, Haier says.

– DThe risk of people protesting is higher, says Heyer.

Up to 700,000 Russian men fled.

So far, Putin has ordered a two-fold increase in the number of troops. In addition, Russia mobilized more than 300,000 troops in September and October 2022. This has led to Several hundred thousand young people He left the country. Estimates range from 500,000 to 700,000 men who took refuge in neighbouring countries.

– DPutin has lost more men than he did in two and a half years of war. So it's very risky and this is probably his biggest threat.

– So Putin didn't mobilize more strikes, he just ordered them, which means soldiers are volunteering to fight, Heyer says.

Afghanistan is a “small war” compared to Ukraine

When the Soviet Union was in Afghanistan between 1979 and 1989, they lost everything. 15000 Soldiers. Now, after two and a half years of war, the Russians are estimated to have lost toSomewhat higher.

The Russian estimate in June was 71,000 deadUS intelligence believes that the number of dead and wounded has ended. 350,000British intelligence is working with half a million Russian soldiers, dead or wounded.

Haier believes this is hitting the economy hard now.

– The fact that inflation in Russia is rising is a sign of a shortage of workers. Because then wages rise. Russia has I had to import labor from North Korea. It is a vicious circle that the Russians are living in.

– They may have to take comfort in the fact that Ukrainians may also be living in a vicious circle, where it becomes harder for Ukrainians to recruit soldiers.

Haier believes the Ukrainians have changed their war strategy by waging war from a distance using precision-guided missiles and drones.

– It is to avoid waging war on Russian terms. Specifically, this outdated, personnel-intensive method, which the Ukrainians cannot afford.

Correction: In an earlier version of this case, it was stated that BThe CIA claimed that about 1,000 Russian soldiers were dying on the battlefield every day. The correct assumption is that about 1,000 soldiers were killed or wounded every day. The error was corrected on September 16 at 10:20 p.m.